Another top bank is ringing the stagflation bell as tariff 'Liberation Day' nears
If the average tariff rate passes 20%, that could push the US into stagflation territory and give the economy a growth shock, Citi says.
GDP
Another big bank has slashed its stock-market outlook amid soaring economic uncertainty
The US economy could be heading for a sharp slowdown "very very soon," an analyst said on Wednesday. Price targets for the S&P 500 have been edging lower.
Trump refuses to rule out a recession as tariffs tank stocks
When asked if he's expecting a recession this year, Trump said "I hate to predict things like that."
Here are the likely market winners and losers if Trump stays aggressive on tariffs
Trump's tariffs aren't just a negotiation tactic anymore. They'll help the economy in some areas but hurt it in others.
'Bond King' Bill Gross says he's scared to wake up and check the news each morning. He shares 4 stock picks with BI.
Billionaire investor Bill Gross told BI that he's worried about tariffs stoking inflation and choking growth, and recommended four defensive stocks.
The dreaded S-word: Stagflation concerns are creeping back into the US economic picture
A top Fed official and the chief economist at Apollo both sounded the alarm on stagflation risks this week.
Morgan Stanley's top stock strategist says the market is in a 'sweet spot' when it comes to interest rates
The Fed made the right call in hitting pause this week. "I'm not sure that pausing is really all the bad for stocks in the short term," Mike Wilson said.
The US economy ended 2024 with cooler growth than expected in the fourth quarter
Real GDP growth in the fourth quarter was short of the expected 2.7% increase.
China hit its economic goals in 2024 despite a consumer spending problem
China's economy grew 5% in 2024, meeting its growth target of around 5%.
Rate cuts, strong employment, and lower prices: 5 bullish predictions for 2025 from Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs economists made a handful of predictions for 2025 that imply a solid foundation for stocks and the economy in the coming year.
A top Chinese economist just said what many people suspected: China's official GDP numbers may not be accurate
China's GDP growth rate is likely to be between 3% and 4% for the next three to five years, said Gao Shanwen, a prominent economist.
An under-the-radar indicator shows global growth is stalling, research firm says
East Asian exports are decelerating. The data is a bellwether for the global economy and suggests global growth is slowing, BCA Research says.
Trump's presidency will hurt Europe's economic growth amid renewed trade tensions, Goldman Sachs says
Europe could face a 0.5% hit to GDP in a second Trump presidency amid increased trade policy uncertainty and more defense spending, Goldman Sachs says.
Stock market today: Indexes slip as traders digest GDP and inflation data ahead of more big earnings
GDP rose 2.8% last quarter, while PCE inflation was 2.2% in September. Traders are bracing for earnings from Meta after the close.
US economic growth came in slightly under expectations, but consumer spending remains strong
While third-quarter GDP came in at 2.8% compared with the 3% expectation, 2024 continues to be a strong year of economic growth.
It's a huge week for the stock market. Here's what to watch for.
Mega-cap giants worth a combined $12 trillion report earnings, while key economic data could prompt another recalibration of rate-cut views this week.
America dodged a recession. Now there's one last pitfall to avoid.
Recession fears are fading and the job market is looking stronger. That's great news for average Americans and the stock market.
The world's most accurate economist predicts the election outcome and its potential shock impact on the 10-year Treasury
The 10-year yield can move in three ways based on election and Congress outcomes.
China just triggered more stimulus measures, even as it says its economy is showing 'stable growth'
China's GDP grew 4.6% in the third quarter — its slowest pace of growth in six quarters.
Goldman Sachs raises China growth outlook on optimism over Beijing's fresh push to revive struggling economy
Goldman Sachs analysts upgraded their growth forecast on China from 4.7% to 4.9% for this year, close to officials' target of around 5% growth.